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The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on mortality forecasts in Brazil

Gabriel Borges, Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (IBGE)

This paper discusses the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality forecasts in Brazil. Given the severe consequences of the pandemic in all aspects of society, it is likely that, after a temporary recover, life expectancy increases in Brazil will occur at a slower pace than previously forecasted.

Keywords: COVID-19, Mortality, Population projections, forecasts, and estimations

See extended abstract.

  Presented in Session 129. Direct and Indirect Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic