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Global changes in contraceptive method mix and outlook to 2030

Philipp Ueffing, United Nations Population Division
Vladimira Kantorova, United Nations
Mark Wheldon, United Nations Population Division
Joseph Molitoris, United Nations Population Division
Aisha Dasgupta, UK Foreign Commonwealth and Development Office

Method-specific contraceptive prevalence varies widely across the world and is a result of past trends in method prevalence that provide evidence of changing preferences, shifts in policy, changes in the healthcare system, and changes in the development and access to various contraceptive methods. To facilitate comparative research into global changes in contraceptive method-mix, we expand the data compilation of globally available survey data on the contraceptive method-mix by marital status. Based on these data, we estimate compositional changes in method-mix over time from 1990 to 2020 and produce projections out to 2030 for 11 categories of modern methods (Male and female sterilization, IUDs, implants, injections, oral pills, male condom, vaginal barrier methods, LAM, emergency contraception and other modern methods) and 3 categories of traditional methods (Rhythm methods, withdrawal, other traditional). We find changes from traditional to modern methods and the shifts from permanent to short-acting methods and that efficacy of the method-mix in preventing a pregnancy is increasing.

Keywords: Family planning and contraception, Methodology, Harmonized data sets, Cross-country comparative analyses

See paper.

  Presented in Session 117. Global and Macro-level analysis of Contraceptive use Data